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On February 21, the National Bureau of statistics released the changes in the sales price of commercial housing in January 2022. In January this year, the sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in 70 large and medium-sized cities fell month by month and year-on-year. Ning Jizhe, director of the National Bureau of statistics, said that in 2022, real estate investment is expected to develop steadily and healthily. The urbanization rate of China's permanent population continues to increase, and it is still at the stage of sustainable urbanization. The supply of the real estate market has been gradually optimized. The supply mode of the real estate market featuring multi-body supply, multi-channel guarantee and rental and sale has gradually taken shape. A new development mode is being explored. Real estate supervision is conducive to promoting a virtuous cycle of real estate. Real estate growth plays an overall role in promoting economic growth.

Sheng Guoqing, chief statistician of the city Department of the National Bureau of statistics, said that the sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in all tier cities increased or decreased month on month, and the number of cities decreased month on month.

In January, the sales price of newly-built commercial housing in first tier cities changed to 0.6% from the 0.1% drop in the previous month. Among them, Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen increased by 1.0%, 0.6%, 0.5% and 0.5% respectively; Second hand housing in first tier cities rose 0.1% month on month, the same as last month. Among them, Beijing and Shanghai increased by 0.5% and 0.6% respectively, while Guangzhou and Shenzhen decreased by 0.2% and 0.5% respectively. The sales price of newly-built commercial houses in second tier cities changed to 0.1% from a 0.3% drop in the previous month; Second hand housing fell by 0.2% month on month, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. The sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in third tier cities fell by 0.2% and 0.4% month on month, 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous month.

In January this year, in 70 large and medium-sized cities, the sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses dropped by 39 and 55 respectively, 11 and 8 respectively compared with the previous month.

Sheng Guoqing introduced that the sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in cities on all lines decreased year-on-year, and the number of cities decreased year-on-year.

In January, the sales price of new commercial housing in first tier cities increased by 4.4% year-on-year, the same as that of last month; The second-hand housing increased by 4.1% year-on-year, down 1.2 percentage points from the previous month. The sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses in second tier cities increased by 2.5% and 1.0% year-on-year, and decreased by 0.3% and 0.5% year-on-year. The sales price of new commercial housing in third tier cities increased by 0.5% year-on-year, down by 0.4 percentage points year-on-year; Second hand housing fell by 0.7% year-on-year from the same level last month.

In January this year, in 70 large and medium-sized cities, the sales prices of new commercial houses and second-hand houses fell by 20 and 30 respectively, up 3 and 4 respectively from the previous month.

From the perspective of house prices, some cities have gradually shown some signs of recovery from the overall downward trend in the second half of last year. In the second half of last year, the real estate market as a whole was relatively cold, and the number of cities with falling house prices in various cities increased significantly. Due to lack of funds and other reasons, real estate development enterprises are unwilling to land acquisition, some urban land is auctioned, and buyers have strong wait-and-see sentiment. With the easing of the financial and credit environment, some cities have introduced measures to stabilize the real estate market, which tends to be stable. In January, the sales prices of new commercial houses in 70 large and medium-sized cities including Yinchuan, Beijing, Chengdu, Chongqing, Xuzhou, Tangshan, Wenzhou and Sanya increased by 1.5% and 1.5% over the previous month. The sales prices of new commercial houses in 70 large and medium-sized cities including Chongqing, Xuzhou, Tangshan, Wenzhou and Sanya increased by 0.8% over the previous month. In terms of second-hand housing, Kunming, Chengdu, last month, Shanghai, Chongqing, Beijing, Beijing, Beijing and other places increased by 0.5%.

However, it should also be noted that the real estate market has passed a stage that can be summarized, because the market differentiation is very obvious. The real estate market in some cities is still declining, mostly in third and fourth tier cities. In January, Xiangyang was one of the 70 large and medium-sized cities with the largest drop in the sales price of newly built commercial housing compared with the previous month. Zhanjiang dropped by 0.8%, Tianjin, Dandong and Shaoguan dropped by 0.7%, and Shenyang, Jiujiang, Changde, Nanchong, Zunyi and other cities dropped by 0.6%. In terms of second-hand housing, Mudanjiang dropped by 1.3%, Beihai by 1.2%, Zhanjiang by 0.9% and Dandong by 0.8% compared with the previous month.

Wang Ruimin, associate researcher of the market economy Research Institute of the development research center of the State Council, believes that the turnover of new and second-hand houses in some cities is still in the downward range, and some cities have dropped significantly year-on-year. The land market that reflects the expectations of real estate enterprises is also uneven. There are still auctions in some cities, mainly in third and fourth tier cities.

For some signs of recovery in the current real estate market and the obvious characteristics of urban differentiation, it is still necessary to adhere to the positioning of non speculation in housing, actively and steadily implement the long-term mechanism of real estate, do not use real estate as a tool and means to stimulate the economy in the short term, pay attention to stabilizing land prices, house prices and expectations, and actively guard against potential risks.